ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES
April 2000
Notice of Revised Data: Monthly retail
sales data was revised based on the results of the 1998 Annual Retail
Trade Survey. The Annual Benchmark Report for Retail Trade showing revised
data was released on April 28, 2000.
The Census Bureau of the Department of
Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail sales for
April, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but
not for price changes, were $266.0 billion, a decrease of 0.2 percent (�0.7%)
from the previous month, but up 9.7 percent (�0.9%) from April 1999.
Total sales for the February through April period were up 10.3 percent (�0.7%)
from the same period a year ago. The February to March 2000 percent change
was revised from +0.2 percent (�0.7%) to +0.5 percent (�0.4%).
Durable goods decreased 0.6 percent (�1.4%)
from March but were 10.2 percent above last year. Automotive sales were up
10.7 percent from April a year ago, while furniture sales were up 10.8
percent from last year.
Nondurable goods increased 0.1 percent (�0.6%)
from March and were up 9.3 percent from April 1999. Gasoline sales were up
23.2 percent from April a year ago, while drug store sales were up 7.8
percent from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a
small subsample of the Bureau's full retail sales sample. Estimates from
the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the
earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability
present in both surveys.
Percent Change in Retail Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday,
and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
The Advance Monthly Retail Sales Report
for May is scheduled to be released June 13, 2000 at 8:30 a.m.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--April 2000
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Millions of dollars)
2000 2000 2000
SIC Kind of business Apr Mar Feb
code adv. prel. final
Retail trade, total........... 265,995 266,510 265,054
Total (excl. auto dealers). 199,667 199,706 197,300
Durable goods, total........ 111,147 111,762 112,034
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,693 15,949 15,222
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 12,620 12,026
525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,341 1,285
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 66,328 66,804 67,754
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 62,923 63,352 64,306
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (NA) (NA)
553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,452 3,448
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 14,446 14,407 14,332
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,924 6,881
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ (*) 6,427 6,420
5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (NA) (NA)
Nondurable goods, total..... 154,848 154,748 153,020
53 General merchandise group stores.. 33,317 33,192 32,947
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 25,969 25,859 25,677
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 26,328 26,222
533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,311 1,298
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 6,022 5,972
54 Food stores....................... 39,771 39,374 39,058
541 Grocery stores.................. 37,763 37,348 37,041
554 Gasoline service stations......... 17,751 18,177 17,435
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,761 11,862 11,676
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... (*) 942 933
562,3 Women's clothing, accessory
stores........................ (*) 3,264 3,129
565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (NA) (NA)
566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,836 1,822
58 Eating and drinking places........ 24,859 24,969 24,680
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,667 10,588 10,443
592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,437 2,419
5961 Total mail order................... (*) 8,503 8,326
53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 68,647 68,127
594
1999 1999 1999 1999
SIC Kind of business
code Apr(r) Mar(r)
Retail trade, total........... 242,494 240,476
Total (excl. auto dealers). 182,560 180,815
Durable goods, total........ 100,864 100,399
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 14,768 14,563
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 11,313 11,242
525 Hardware stores................. 1,328 1,309
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 59,934 59,661
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 56,616 56,393
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (NA) (NA)
553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,318 3,268
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 13,033 13,040
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,238 6,261
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ 5,771 5,754
5722 Household appliance stores.... (NA) (NA)
Nondurable goods, total..... 141,630 140,077
53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,007 31,136
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,370 24,506
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 24,851 24,941
533 Variety stores.................. 1,140 1,117
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,497 5,513
54 Food stores....................... 37,427 37,204
541 Grocery stores.................. 35,519 35,320
554 Gasoline service stations......... 14,404 13,801
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,233 11,063
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... 933 906
562,3 Women's clothing, accessory
stores........................ 3,073 3,071
565 Family clothing stores.......... (NA) (NA)
566 Shoe stores..................... 1,812 1,746
58 Eating and drinking places........ 23,141 22,840
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,892 9,760
592 Liquor stores..................... 2,275 2,211
5961 Total mail order................... 7,064 6,848
53,56,57, GAF................................ 63,833 63,839
594
(*) Advance estimates are not available from the
subsample panel for these kinds of business.
(NA) Not available. (r) Revised.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--April 2000
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Millions of dollars)
2000 2000 2000
SIC Kind of business Apr Mar Feb
code adv. prel. final
Retail trade, total........... 259,242 270,900 243,015
Total (excl. auto dealers). 193,640 196,718 176,926
Durable goods, total........ 108,217 117,062 104,564
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 16,666 15,576 12,029
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 12,418 9,741
525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,262 997
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 65,602 74,182 66,089
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 62,231 70,637 63,020
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) 59,910 53,919
553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,545 3,069
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 13,001 14,162 13,340
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,903 6,337
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ (*) 6,241 6,080
5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) 975 889
Nondurable goods, total..... 151,025 153,838 138,451
53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,638 31,178 27,287
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,826 24,126 21,055
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 24,575 21,454
533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,259 1,132
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 5,793 5,100
54 Food stores....................... 39,282 39,555 36,340
541 Grocery stores.................. 37,234 37,572 34,448
554 Gasoline service stations......... 17,396 18,159 15,831
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,655 11,283 9,127
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... (*) 825 715
562,3 Women's clothing, accessary
stores........................ (*) 3,176 2,481
565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) 4,328 3,523
566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,840 1,512
58 Eating and drinking places........ 24,958 25,493 23,273
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,528 10,842 10,140
592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,303 2,080
5961 Total mail order................... (*) 8,886 7,577
53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 64,459 57,523
594
1999 1999
SIC Kind of business
code Apr Mar
Retail trade, total........... 240,882 242,654
Total (excl. auto dealers). 178,094 177,016
Durable goods, total........ 102,810 104,381
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 16,359 14,165
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 12,286 11,040
525 Hardware stores................. 1,424 1,215
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 62,788 65,638
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 59,390 62,314
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... 50,197 53,353
553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,398 3,324
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 11,939 12,717
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 5,901 6,192
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ 5,136 5,558
5722 Household appliance stores.... 871 890
Nondurable goods, total..... 138,072 138,273
53 General merchandise group stores.. 28,840 28,965
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 22,664 22,693
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 23,104 23,114
533 Variety stores.................. 1,064 1,079
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,112 5,193
54 Food stores....................... 36,737 37,248
541 Grocery stores.................. 34,844 35,355
554 Gasoline service stations......... 14,505 13,580
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 10,842 10,585
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... 910 789
562,3 Women's clothing, accessary
stores........................ 3,113 2,973
565 Family clothing stores.......... 4,082 4,037
566 Shoe stores..................... 1,821 1,809
58 Eating and drinking places........ 23,372 22,954
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,813 10,102
592 Liquor stores..................... 2,186 2,061
5961 Total mail order................... 6,725 7,115
53,56,57, GAF................................ 58,871 59,637
594
(*) Advance estimates are not available from the
subsample panel for these kinds of business.
(NA) Not available. (r) Revised.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------TABLE 1C. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--April 2000
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Millions of dollars)
4 month total
Change
SIC Kind of business 2000 from
code 1999
Retail trade, total........... 1,001,367 11.0
Total (excl. auto dealers). 737,735 10.4
Durable goods, total........ 423,744 11.5
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 55,558 5.8
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) (*)
525 Hardware stores................. (*) (*)
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 263,632 12.5
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 250,702 12.9
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (*)
553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) (*)
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 53,646 11.7
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) (*)
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ (*) (*)
5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (*)
Nondurable goods, total..... 577,623 10.6
53 General merchandise group stores.. 115,578 8.4
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 89,761 7.7
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) (*)
533 Variety stores.................. (*) (*)
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) (*)
54 Food stores....................... 152,168 5.9
541 Grocery stores.................. 144,468 5.8
554 Gasoline service stations......... 66,524 26.9
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 40,211 6.2
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... (*) (*)
562,3 Women's clothing, accessary
stores........................ (*) (*)
565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (*)
566 Shoe stores..................... (*) (*)
58 Eating and drinking places........ 96,344 9.5
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 41,575 8.1
592 Liquor stores..................... (*) (*)
5961 Total mail order................... (*) (*)
53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) (*)
594
(*) Advance estimates are not available from the
subsample panel for these kinds of business.
(NA) Not available. (r) Revised.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--April 2000
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Percent Change)
Apr Mar
2000 2000
adv. prel.
from-- from--
SIC Kind of business Mar Apr Feb Mar
CODE 2000 1999 2000 1999
Prel. Final Final Final
Retail trade, total........... -0.2 +9.7 +0.5 +10.8
Total (excl. auto dealers). 0.0 +9.4 +1.2 +10.4
Durable goods, total........ -0.6 +10.2 -0.2 +11.3
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. -1.6 +6.3 +4.8 +9.5
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -0.7 +10.7 -1.4 +12.0
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -0.7 +11.1 -1.5 +12.3
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. +0.3 +10.8 +0.5 +10.5
Nondurable goods, total..... +0.1 +9.3 +1.1 +10.5
53 General merchandise group stores.. +0.4 +7.4 +0.7 +6.6
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +0.4 +6.6 +0.7 +5.5
531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +0.4 +5.6
54 Food stores....................... +1.0 +6.3 +0.8 +5.8
541 Grocery stores.................. +1.1 +6.3 +0.8 +5.7
554 Gasoline service stations......... -2.3 +23.2 +4.3 +31.7
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... -0.9 +4.7 +1.6 +7.2
58 Eating and drinking places........ -0.4 +7.4 +1.2 +9.3
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... +0.7 +7.8 +1.4 +8.5
Not Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Percent Change)
Apr Mar
2000 2000
adv. prel.
from-- from--
SIC Kind of business Mar Apr Feb Mar
CODE 2000 1999 2000 1999
Prel. Final Final Final
Retail trade, total........... -4.3 +7.6 +11.5 +11.6
Total (excl. auto group).. -1.6 +8.7 +11.2 +11.1
Durable goods, total........ -7.6 +5.3 +12.0 +12.1
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. +7.0 +1.9 +29.5 +10.0
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -11.6 +4.5 +12.2 +13.0
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -11.9 +4.8 +12.1 +13.4
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. -8.2 +8.9 +6.2 +11.4
Nondurable goods, total..... -1.8 +9.4 +11.1 +11.3
53 General merchandise group stores.. +1.5 +9.7 +14.3 +7.6
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +2.9 +9.5 +14.6 +6.3
531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +14.5 +6.3
54 Food stores....................... -0.7 +6.9 +8.8 +6.2
541 Grocery stores.................. -0.9 +6.9 +9.1 +6.3
554 Gasoline service stations......... -4.2 +19.9 +14.7 +33.7
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... +3.3 +7.5 +23.6 +6.6
58 Eating and drinking places........ -2.1 +6.8 +9.5 +11.1
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... -2.9 +7.3 +6.9 +7.3
(NA) Not Available.
SOURCE:Advance Monthly Retail Sales--April 2000
Reliability of Data
The Advance estimates are based on
a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail sales sample. Estimates from
the Advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the
earlier reporting in the Advance and because of sampling variability
present in each survey. The margin of sampling error, as used on page 1,
gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If,
for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%,
then the margin of sampling error is +/- 1.65 x 0.9% or +/- 1.5%, and the
90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it
is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level,
the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence
interval is the estimated value +/- 1.65 x CV x (the estimated value).
Estimates of sampling variability are
given in Table 3. They are based on two components. The first component is
a measure of the average difference between the Advance and the
Preliminary estimates. The second reflects the variability of the
Preliminary estimate. Additionally, both the Advance and the full survey
are subject to nonsampling errors. Such errors can occur because of
nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses,
and response errors, among others. Precautionary steps are taken to
minimize these errors, but their magnitude is not directly measured.
Preliminary estimates for the current
month and final estimates for the previous month based on the full sample
are published next month in the Monthly Retail Trade Report. This report
will provide sales estimates in greater detail and additional measures of
sampling variability. It will also present a description of revisions and
the techniques used in developing the estimates, and an explanation of
confidence intervals and sampling variability (Appendix B, Reliability of
Data).
(1) ---- The coefficients of variation
(CVs) for level of sales and the standard errors for trends are medians
based on estimates for the preceding 12 months.
(2) ---- These columns measure the
difference between the Advance/Preliminary ratio and the Preliminary/Final
ratio estimates -- i.e., the difference between estimates of trend for the
same pair of data months. The revisions for Retail trade total are based
on the latest 12 months of data.
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