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Reality Check Charts
a weekly feature

 Chart Commentary by
Mitch Harris of the Reality Check newsletter

11/9/99: Gateway Computer (GTW), Lyondell Chemical (LYO)

Gateway Computer (GTW):

Notice first how overbought the weekly Stochastics and RSI are. RSI rarely moves much above 70%, but in this case its above 80%.

Stochastics are approaching 100%, obviously a level that cannot be exceeded. The ROC (Rate of Change) indicator is showing a negative divergence by not moving higher with prices.

The price appears to be extremely extended and it sports a very lofty 54 P/E ratio, in a business that has recently become "commoditized" with give away computers. They still sell theirs for $1000 and higher.

Overall, we see these expectations unreasonable whether the general market keeps rising or not.

 

Lyondell Chemicals (LYO): Simply put, all of the intermediate term indicators shown on the chart have turned higher.

The stock appears to have completed a secondary bottom by turning higher after declining from 22 or so in a well defined 5 wave pattern.

Basic commodity companies have been acting well against the market’s recent selling.

There has been some consolidation within this industry, making LYO a potential takeover candidate.

13 insiders have made open market purchases in the past 12 months.

It has a 6.67% yield, making it a reasonable speculation.

 

 

              Market Trend Realities (MTR) is a Registered Investment Advisory which manages personal, corporate, Trust, and retirement accounts on a fee only basis. Several low cost, flexible management fee arrangements are available. Investment Advisor, Mitch Harris has studied the Point & Figure Charting Method under the direct supervision of Michael Burke, Editor of the prestigious Investors Intelligence research organization. Management is based on a unique combination of technical analysis methods and tools which include, The Point & Figure charting method, Elliott Wave Analysis & techniques, industry group analysis, cycle analysis, Relative Strength Analysis, Stochastics, and investor sentiment studies. MTR offers a very uniquely structured managed mutual fund program using the RYDEX family of mutual funds, which offer outperformance potential whether equity markets are rising OR falling! Inquiries are welcome by calling us at (513) 421-8737, or by email at: mtr@fuse.net  

               MTR also publishes a monthly investment newsletter called "Reality Check", which offers technical commentary on the stock & bond markets, the Dollar Index, gold & gold stocks (XAU), Treasury yields, utilities, investor sentiment, and Federal Reserve policy. It also offers stock trading recommendations each month with price targets, stop loss points and insider activity. There are 4 trading portfolios, including a short selling account (we are very proud that our short sale recommendations have averaged 12.5% "compounded" during the roaring bull market of the last 5 years). Short term market commentaries are updated on Tuesday and Friday mornings, along with portfolio changes on this web page. They are also emailed for free to anyone who provides us with their email address. The regular subscription rate is $200 (US) per year. A special first time subscriber rate of $139 is available to  viewers. Samples are available upon request. MTR will be happy to send information on any of the above mentioned services. Please email us your home or business address and specify your interest(s).

 

 

 
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Last modified: April 02, 2001

Published By Tulips and Bears LLC