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TULIP INTERNET BUBBLE INDEX

 WEEKLY TULIP INDEX: 31.3 
High: 59.1 Low 22.4

 
4/03/00- 

The bubble in pure play Internets enter this week in desperate need of a hero.  Over the past year investors have moved from one concept to another, from B2C e-commerce to e-banks, from e-brokers to infrastructure and B2B e-commerce, creating parabolic stock prices runups in each group  and causing equally steep declines as they abandon the old flavor of the day and move on to the latest idea of the day.  During the past week, the high flying B2B e-commerce sector was the latest group to fall out of favor and become yesterday's hero.

The end of the public's fever for B2B, when combined with the "going concern" warnings swirling around several B2C companies, leaves the Internet sector in a precarious state, with the pin already entering the bubble and the final pop not far off.

For many cash strapped B2C companies, the last hopes for their corporate survival have been eliminated by the recent decline in the sector.  A company with expanding losses and negative cashflow that uses its rising stock price as a means of raising cash to finance day to day operations is a company that will quickly find its means of support taken away when its stock declines, as shareholders in Peapod, CDNow, and DrKoop.com will attest.  It is likely that there will be many more Dr.Koops in the coming months if the public's love affair with pureplay Internet stocks continues to dissipate.

[Note: Stocks are ranked by Price/Sales Ratio]

 

 TOP PAN:  YHOO

 
SECURITY TICKER PRICE Projected
P/E Ratio
Price/Sales Ratio 52-week Range MARKET CAP
(IN BILLIONS)
Infospace.com INSP 130.25 1001.9 342.8 277-17.63 $12.56
Verisign Inc VRSN 152 432.2 192.4 258.50-22.58 $15.58
Inktomi Corp INKT 178.38 849.4 191.8 241.50-42 $17.94
Yahoo Inc YHOO 169.50 339 152.7 250.07-55 $89.24
Webb Interactive WEBB 32 LOSS 128.0 70.25-7.50 $0.248
eBay Inc EBAY 207.13 313.8 122.6 255-70.28 $26.74
Broadvision Inc BVSN 51 318.7 115.9 93.29-4.35 $12.35
Exodus Communi EXDS 144 LOSS 100.0 179.63-15 $12.27
Broadcom Corp BRCM 210.94 222 92.9 253-29 $87.87
RealNetworks Inc RNWK 59.19 269 70.5 96-25.50 $4.40
Go2Net Inc GNET 82.94 135.9 68.0 111.75-45 $2.31
CMGI Inc CMGI 109.63 LOSS 63.7 163.50-33.13 $26.02
Network Solutions NSOL 165 163.3 52.5 255.63-24.50 $11.03
Spyglass Inc SPYG 75.44 243.3 48.1 95.25-8.63 $1.25
Metricom Inc MCOM 48.25 LOSS 43.5 109.50-6.50 $1.06
DoubleClick Inc DCLK 96.44 311.0 41.0 135.25-30.25 $8.68
ISS Group Inc ISSX 109 209.6 40.8 141-20 $4.43
CNet Networks Inc CNET 50.06 102.1 36.0 79.88-27.50 $3.68
Cisco Systems Inc CSCO 73.63 113.2 34.7 82-24.81 $485.59
AtHome Corp ATHM 33.19 89.7 31.3 99-26.75 $12.26
 
Top Pan: Yahoo

The recent AOL-Time Warner megamerger made Yahoo an instant second class citizen, and left it between a rock and hard place: either buy an old-line media company and see its stock lose the valuation premium it enjoys as a pureplay Internet, or remain independent and fall instantly behind the curve. The company's decision to eschew a combination with a traditional media company at a time when its stock was flying at an all-time high is likely to come back to haunt it if its recent stock price decline continues and the company wakes up to find that its stock is no longer accepted as acquisition tender.  

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Last modified: April 03, 2000

Published By Tulips and Bears LLC