12/31/98 Merrill
Lynch (MER)
Points to watch: MER has corrected 15% from its
November snap back rally highs. The stock's last two up swings have been stopped by
Gann angle resistance (at 79.75 and 73.25). Daily RSI and OBV have both turned down.
During its rebound from the October lows MER touched, but was unable to break
above, its 200 day moving average. The failure of MER to break above its 200 day
moving average, and its subsequent correction, have negative implications for the current
market rally. Merrill tends to be a leading indicator for future market trends.
The stock's recent correction is a warning sign that the market's rally is nearing
its conclusion. Continue to watch the large brokerage stocks (excluding Charles
sch which is fast becoming a proxy for the internet bubble) over the next few weeks for
clues to the market's future direction.