The Board of Governors
appreciates this opportunity to comment on issues related to H.R.
4209, the Bank Reserves Modernization Act of 2000. The Board
strongly supports the proposal in the bill to allow the payment of
interest on the balances that depository institutions maintain in
their accounts at Federal Reserve Banks. We have commented
favorably on such proposals on a number of previous occasions over
the years, and the reasons for that position still hold today.
Historically, the issue of
permitting interest to be paid on reserve balances has been linked
to the repeal of the prohibition against paying interest on demand
deposits. The Board is pleased that the House of Representatives
has passed legislation that would ultimately permit the payment by
financial institutions of interest on their customers' demand
deposits. Assuming it becomes law, that legislation eventually
will contribute considerably to the improved efficiency of our
financial sector. Authorizing the Federal Reserve to pay interest
on reserve balances held by depository institutions at Reserve
Banks would also be important for increasing the economic
efficiency of our banking sector.
To help clarify this point, let
me first give you some background information on reserve
requirements. The Federal Reserve currently requires that
depository institutions maintain required reserves equal to 10
percent of their transactions deposits above certain minimum
levels. Reserve requirements may be satisfied either with vault
cash or with balances held in accounts at Federal Reserve Banks.
Excess reserves are reserve balances that depositories hold in
Reserve Banks in excess of the balances needed to meet reserve
requirements. Depository institutions may also arrange with their
Reserve Banks to hold additional balances, called required
clearing balances, that I will explain later. Depository
institutions earn no interest on their vault cash, required
reserve balances, or excess reserve balances.
Paying interest on vault cash is
not authorized in the proposed legislation and it is not
advisable, because banks hold vault cash mainly for other business
purposes, not to meet reserve requirements. Also, questions of
equity would arise, because it would be administratively
impossible for the Federal Reserve to pay interest on the currency
holdings of the general public.
However, paying interest on
required reserve balances could eliminate some expenditures by the
banking sector that are wasteful from the point of view of the
overall economy. Depository institutions currently expend
considerable resources to minimize their required reserve balances
by developing and operating various programs, such as business and
retail sweep programs, in order to minimize the balances recorded
in their transaction accounts. From society's point of view, these
expenditures produce no net benefits, and paying interest on
required reserve balances would reduce the incentives for
depository institutions to engage in these practices.
Depository institutions have
always attempted to reduce to a minimum the non-interest-bearing
balances held at Federal Reserve Banks to meet reserve
requirements. For more than two decades, some commercial banks
have done so in part by sweeping the reservable transaction
deposits of businesses into nonreservable instruments. These
business sweeps not only have avoided reserve requirements, but
also have allowed businesses to earn interest on instruments that
are effectively equivalent to demand deposits. In recent years,
developments in information systems have allowed depository
institutions to begin sweeping consumer transaction deposits into
nonreservable accounts. These retail sweep programs use
computerized systems to transfer consumer transaction deposits,
which are subject to reserve requirements, into personal savings
accounts, which are not. Largely because of such programs,
required reserve balances have dropped from about $28 billion in
late 1993 to around $6 billion today, and the spread of such
programs has not yet fully run its course.
The payment of interest on
required reserve balances would remove the incentives to engage in
such reserve avoidance practices. If the bill becomes law, the
Federal Reserve would likely pay an interest rate on required
reserve balances close to the rate on other risk-free money market
instruments, such as repurchase agreements. This rate is usually a
little less than the interest rate on federal funds transactions,
which are uncollateralized overnight loans of reserves in the
interbank market.
In light of the resources used
by depository institutions to try to circumvent reserve
requirements, some might question the reason for having such
requirements. Indeed, reserve requirements have been eliminated in
some other industrialized countries. Let me review the historical
and current purposes served by reserve requirements.
Although the word
"reserves" might imply an emergency store of liquidity,
required reserves cannot actually be used for this purpose, since
they represent a small and fixed fraction of a bank's transaction
deposits. I should also note that reserve requirements are quite
different from capital requirements. Capital is a buffer against
losses, and capital requirements are an important aspect of the
prudential supervision and regulation of banks. Reserve
requirements, by contrast, have no role in banking supervision and
prudential regulation.
Reserve requirements are a
monetary policy tool. In the past, they have been employed to
assist in controlling the growth of the money stock. In the early
1980s, for example, the Federal Reserve used a reserve quantity
procedure to control the growth of the monetary aggregate M1.
Indeed, the current structure of reserve requirements, with
relatively high required reserve ratios on transaction deposits,
which are included in M1, and zero or relatively low ratios on
nontransaction deposits, which are not, was originally designed to
aid the control of M1. For the most part, however, the Federal
Reserve has looked to the price of reserves--the federal funds
rate--rather than the quantity of reserves, as its key focus in
implementing monetary policy.
While reserve requirements no
longer serve the purpose of monetary control, required reserves
continue to play a valuable role in the implementation of monetary
policy in the United States. They do so because reserve
requirements induce a predictable demand for balances at Reserve
Banks on a two-week average basis. As you know, depository
institutions trade reserve balances among themselves every day at
the interest rate called the federal funds rate. The Federal Open
Market Committee sets a target for the federal funds rate that the
Open Market Desk attempts to maintain. The predictability of the
overall demand for reserves is important in helping the Desk
determine the amount of reserves to supply through open market
operations in order to achieve a given federal funds rate target.
Because required reserve balances must be maintained only on an
average basis over a two-week period, depositories have some scope
to adjust the daily balances they hold for this purpose and this
process helps stabilize the federal funds rate. For instance, if
the funds rate were higher than usual on a particular day, some
depository institutions could choose to hold lower reserve
balances that day, and their reduced demand would help to damp the
upward pressure on the funds rate. Later in the two-week period,
when the funds rate might be lower, those institutions could
choose to hold more reserves and make up the shortfall in their
average holdings of reserve balances. This action would also help
smooth out the funds rate over the two-week period.
The Federal Reserve permits
depository institutions to hold additional deposits in the form of
required clearing balances, which are not included in total
reserves. Under the Federal Reserve's required clearing balance
program, depository institutions may hold credit-earning balances,
not for meeting reserve requirements, but for assisting with
clearing needs. The credits offset charges for Federal Reserve
services, like check-clearing, used by the depository. This
program helps to restrain volatility in the federal funds rate in
a manner similar to reserve requirements because the clearing
balance requirement is on a two-week average basis and because it
is identified ahead of time. The volume of required clearing
balances is limited, however, because the credits accumulate only
to the level of charges that a depository institution incurs for
Federal Reserve services. Under H.R. 4209, explicit interest could
be paid on such balances. Thus, this constraint on the level of
required clearing balances would be eliminated, a result that
would potentially boost their benefit for the implementation of
monetary policy.
In addition to required reserve
and required clearing balances, depository institutions also hold
excess reserve balances in their accounts at Federal Reserve
Banks. Their motive in holding excess reserves is mainly as a
precaution against the chance that unpredictable payments out of
their accounts late in the day might cause shortages of reserves
to satisfy reserve requirements or might cause overnight
overdrafts on their accounts. The Federal Reserve strongly
discourages overnight overdrafts.
If required reserve and required
clearing balances dropped to very low levels, there would be
increased risks of overnight overdrafts on the accounts of
depositories in Reserve Banks. The remaining balances of
depositories at Reserve Banks would be largely excess reserves
held as a precaution against such overdrafts. It would be
especially difficult to predict the level of balances depositories
would need for this purpose from one day to the next. For example,
on days when payment flows were particularly heavy and uncertain,
or when the distribution of reserves around the banking system
were substantially different than normal, depositories would need
a higher than usual level of precautionary balances to avoid the
risk of overdrafts. The uncertainties would make it harder for the
Federal Reserve to determine the appropriate daily quantity of
reserves to supply to the market. Thus, in such a scenario, the
federal funds rate could become more volatile and often diverge
markedly from its intended level.
Moderate levels of volatility
are not a concern for monetary policy, in part because the Federal
Reserve now announces the target federal funds rate, eliminating
the possibility that fluctuations in the actual funds rate in the
market would give misleading signals about monetary policy. A
significant increase in volatility in the federal funds rate,
however, would be of concern because it would affect other
overnight interest rates, raising funding risks for most large
banks, securities dealers, and other money market participants.
Suppliers of funds to the overnight markets, including many small
banks and thrifts, would face greater uncertainty about the
returns they would earn and market participants would incur
additional costs in managing their funding to limit their exposure
to the heightened risks.
An example of significantly
heightened volatility occurred in early 1991, just after the
Federal Reserve reduced reserve requirements in order to ease
funding costs to banks during the credit crunch period. Because of
the cut in reserve requirements, many depository institutions
found that their required reserve balances fell below the level of
balances they needed to hold as a precaution against overdrafts
owing to unpredictable payment flows; as a consequence, the
federal funds rate became quite volatile for a while, with daily
trading ranges averaging around 8 percentage points compared with
about 1-1/2 percentage points in normal times.
Since then, depository
institutions have become much more adept at managing their reserve
positions, in part by making greater use of required clearing
balances, and as a result, their needs for day-to-day
precautionary balances have declined considerably. A number of
measures taken by the Federal Reserve also have helped to foster
stability in the funds market, including improvements in the
timeliness of account information provided to depository
institutions, more frequent open market operations which are
increasingly geared to daily payment needs rather than
two-week-average requirements, a shift to lagged reserve
requirements, which gives depositories and the Federal Reserve
advance information on the demand for reserves, and improved
procedures for estimating reserve demand. As a result of these
steps taken by depository institutions and the Federal Reserve,
the average level of volatility in the federal funds rate has not
moved up, despite much lower levels of required reserve balances
than in the 1991 episode. However, the limited effects on
volatility of the spread of retail sweep programs to date may not
preclude a more outsized reaction if reserve balances fall even
lower. We expect required reserve balances to fall from their
current level of around $6 billion to perhaps $4 billion, thereby
increasing the risk of heightened volatility in the funds rate.
As I previously mentioned, some
industrial countries have managed to implement monetary policy
successfully without reserve requirements. Those countries have
avoided substantial volatility in overnight interest rates by
using alternative procedures for the implementation of monetary
policy. One approach, for instance, establishes a ceiling and a
floor to contain movements of the overnight interest rate. The
ceiling is set by the central bank's lending rate in what is
called a Lombard facility; loans are provided freely to qualified
banks but at an interest rate above the expected level of
overnight market interest rates. Adopting a Lombard facility in
the United States would involve changes in our discount window
operations. For such a facility to function effectively as a
ceiling for overnight interest rates, depository institutions
would need to exhibit a greater willingness to make use of
discount window loans than they have in the past. In some
countries, a floor for overnight interest rates is established by
the rate of interest a central bank pays on excess reserve
balances; banks would not generally lend to other banks at an
interest rate below the rate they could earn on a risk-free
deposit at the central bank. For the Federal Reserve to be able to
set a similar interest rate floor, it would need expanded
legislative authority, for example, to pay interest on excess
reserves. Under H.R. 4209, interest on excess reserves would be
allowed.
If interest were permitted to be
paid on required reserve balances, adjustments in the procedures
for implementing monetary policy and in the behavior of depository
institutions might not be needed. Interest on required reserves
would reduce banks' costs of offering transaction deposits and
thus could boost their levels substantially, as some sweep
programs were unwound. The unwinding would be larger if interest
could also be paid on demand deposits, as eventually would be
permitted by the legislation already passed by the House. The
increased transaction deposits likely would bring required reserve
balances above the level of daily precautionary needs for many
institutions, thus helping to stabilize the federal funds rate,
while also improving economic efficiency as previously noted.
The magnitude of the responses
to these measures, however, is uncertain. Some corporations may
not find the interest paid on demand deposits high enough to
induce them to shift a substantial volume of funds out of other
liquid instruments. Also, some banks may retain consumer sweep
programs in order to seek higher investment returns than the
Federal Reserve would pay on riskless reserve balances.
Because of the uncertainties
involved, it is best for the Federal Reserve to be able to pay
interest on any balances that depositories hold at Reserve Banks,
not just on required reserve balances, and at differential rates
to be set by the Federal Reserve, as the bill would allow. The
ability to pay explicit interest on balances other than required
reserve balances would provide additional tools that could be
helpful for monetary policy implementation, if interest on
required reserve balances resulted in an insufficient boost to the
level of those balances. In any case, it is important that the
Federal Reserve have a full monetary toolkit, given the
inventiveness of financial market participants and the need for
the Federal Reserve to be prepared for potential developments that
may not be immediately visible.
H.R. 4209 also includes a
technical provision related to pass-through reserves. This
provision would extend to banks that are members of the Federal
Reserve System a privilege that was granted to nonmember
institutions at the time of the Depository Institutions
Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980. It would allow
member banks to count as reserves their deposits in affiliated or
correspondent banks that are in turn "passed through" by
those banks to Federal Reserve Banks as required reserve balances.
The provision would remove a constraint on some banks' reserve
management and would cause no difficulties for the Federal Reserve
in implementing monetary policy. The Board supports it.
The payment of interest on
required reserve balances would reduce the revenues received by
the Treasury from the Federal Reserve. The extent of the revenue
loss, however, has fallen considerably on balance over the past
ten to twenty years because of reductions in the level of such
balances as banks have increasingly implemented reserve avoidance
techniques and because of the generally lower level of interest
rates as inflation has declined. Paying interest on required
clearing balances would merely involve a switch to explicit
interest from the implicit interest of earnings credits. It might,
if anything, have a slight positive effect on the Treasury budget
to the extent that the level of such balances increased with
explicit interest, and the Federal Reserve was able to earn a
higher return on investing the additional funds than it paid out
in interest. Regarding interest on excess reserve balances, the
Federal Reserve does not see an immediate need to use this
additional tool for monetary policy. If it were used, Treasury
revenues could be reduced, but probably only slightly, owing to
the small amount of excess reserve balances, which have averaged a
little over $1 billion in recent years, and the likelihood that
the Federal Reserve would pay a rate well below the federal funds
rate on them. Also, if the demand for excess reserves increased,
any "spread" that the Federal Reserve earned on the
higher excess reserves would be returned to the Treasury, further
limiting the budgetary cost.
The Committee has requested the
Board's view on the possibility of transferring some of the
capital surplus of the Federal Reserve Banks to the Treasury in
order to cover the budgetary costs of paying interest on required
reserve balances. Let me take a moment to explain the role of the
surplus account of the Reserve Banks.
The Federal Reserve System
derives the bulk of its revenues from interest earnings on
Treasury securities that it has obtained through open market
operations. The System returns a very high proportion of its
earnings every year to the Treasury. In 1999, it turned over $25
billion, or about 97 percent of its earnings. In most years, the
System retains a small percentage of those earnings in its surplus
account. The surplus account is a capital account on the Federal
Reserve Banks' balance sheets. Since 1964, the Federal Reserve has
followed the practice of allowing the surplus to rise to match
increases in the paid-in capital of member banks. Each member bank
is required by law to subscribe to the capital stock of its
Reserve Bank in an amount equal to 6 percent of its own capital
and surplus. The Board requires that half of that subscribed
capital be paid in.
The Federal Reserve's surplus
account is currently about $6-1/2 billion, while its total capital
amounts to $14 billion. As required by the omnibus appropriations
legislation that passed at the end of the last Congressional
session, the Federal Reserve will transfer $3.752 billion from its
surplus account to the Treasury; that transfer is scheduled for
May 10. After the transfer, the surplus will be $2.7 billion and
total capital will be about $10.3 billion. Total assets of the
Federal Reserve are around $600 billion.
The surplus account has helped
to provide extra backing for the issue of Federal Reserve notes.
The Federal Reserve is required by law to hold certain specified
assets, including Treasury securities, as collateral against the
issuance of currency. The Federal Reserve buys Treasury
securities, its main asset, in the open market as the counterpart
to the surplus on its books. The extra margin of collateral for
currency made possible because of the surplus was important in the
past, because certain types of discount window loans could not be
used as collateral. However, legislation signed into law last year
expanded the assets of the Federal Reserve that could be used to
back the issuance of currency to include all discount window
loans. As a result, the importance of the surplus in providing a
margin of excess currency collateral has greatly diminished.
Traditionally, the Federal
Reserve and virtually all other central banks have maintained an
appreciable level of capital. For the Federal Reserve, some of
that capital has been contributed by member commercial banks and
some from earnings retained in the surplus account. Maintaining a
surplus account may help support the perception of the central
bank as a stable and independent institution by ensuring that its
assets remain comfortably in excess of its liabilities. However,
the need for capital in this case is limited by the modest
variability of the Federal Reserve's profits, the safety of its
primary asset, Treasury securities, and the substantial regular
flow of earnings from its portfolio of securities.
Indeed, in the abstract, a
central bank with the nation's currency franchise does not need to
hold capital. In the private sector, a firm's capital helps to
protect creditors from credit losses. Creditors of central banks,
however, are at no risk of a loss because the central bank can
always create additional currency to meet any obligation
denominated in that currency.
Whatever the benefits of the
surplus account, it should be emphasized that its maintenance is
costless to the Treasury and to taxpayers. The Treasury has to
issue more debt because of the surplus, but an exactly equivalent
amount of Treasury debt is held by the Federal Reserve. The amount
of Treasury debt held by the private sector is not affected by the
existence or the level of the surplus. The Treasury pays interest
on the portion of its debt held by the Federal Reserve, but those
interest payments are then returned to the Treasury by the Federal
Reserve on a weekly basis.
For similar reasons, transfers
of Federal Reserve surplus to the Treasury provide no true
budgetary savings. Let me give you an example that illustrates
this principle. First, imagine that the Congress wished to enact
some new spending program that would cost $500 million. In the
absence of any new revenues or reductions in outlays on other
programs, the Treasury would need to issue $500 million of debt to
the public to fund the expenditure. The annual interest cost on
that debt, at a 6 percent interest rate, would be $30 million a
year. Now suppose that, instead, the Congress decided to
"finance" the spending program by transferring $500
million from Federal Reserve surplus to the Treasury. To obtain
the funds to transfer to Treasury while maintaining the stance of
monetary policy, the Federal Reserve would need to sell $500
million of Treasury securities from its portfolio to the public.
The public would wind up holding $500 million of additional
Treasury debt, and the government would increase its net interest
cost by $30 million a year--exactly the same outcome as if the
Treasury just sold the debt directly to the public. Thus,
financing an additional $500 million outlay through a surplus
transfer is exactly equivalent to borrowing from the public. For
reasons illustrated by this example, the Federal Reserve has
consistently stated that transfers of Federal Reserve surplus do
not provide true budgetary revenues and indeed that mandating such
transfers undermines the integrity of the federal budgetary
process. The fact that budgetary rules count transfers of Federal
Reserve surplus as revenues for the purpose of calculating the
budget deficit is an anomaly of federal budget accounting.
Over the years, Congress
generally has concurred with this view, with a few exceptions.
Congressional budget resolutions in 1996, 1997, and again this
year noted that transfers of surplus have no real budgetary or
economic effects. The 1996 and 1997 resolutions directed the
Congressional Budget Office not to score any savings from
legislation requiring transfers from the surplus account to the
Treasury. The most recent budget resolution contains a provision
to ensure that transfers of Federal Reserve surplus "shall
not be used to offset increased on-budget spending when such
transfers produce no real budgetary or economic effects." The
Manager's statement explaining this provision states: "It has
long been the view of the Committee on the Budget that transfers
of Federal Reserve surpluses to the Treasury are not valid offsets
for increased spending."
In summary, the Federal Reserve
strongly supports legislation to authorize the payment of interest
on reserves. Such authorization, however, would have a budgetary
cost. The transfer of Federal Reserve surplus would technically
increase reported budget receipts, owing to a unified budget
convention, but would not represent a true source of revenue to
offset this cost.