Co-brand Partnerships

award-5.gif (6517 bytes)
Vote for Us

topsite.gif (1668 bytes)

webfifty.gif (6027 bytes)

 


 
drop_center.gif (2753 bytes)


wpe1.jpg (2095 bytes)


FREE EMAIL
Email Login
Password
New Users Sign Up!
 
NEWS SEARCH
WEB DIRECTORY
WEB SEARCH
 CITY GUIDES
search by:
 WEATHER

Current Weather
Enter Your City, State, or Zipcode:

   

MASTERING
THE TRADE

ORIGINAL, INTERACTIVE SEMINAR ON TRADING USING
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
 

 
EARNINGS ESTIMATES

Enter Symbol

U.S. QUOTES

Enter Symbol:

U.S. CHARTS

Enter Symbol:

TECHNICAL OPINION

Enter Symbol:

CANADIAN CHARTS

Enter Symbol


 SEC FILINGS

Search For:
 

Company Name
Ticker Symbol

 BROKER RESEARCH
Exclusive Broker

Research
Enter Ticker

 

ARCHIVE:    JUNE 1999-OCTOBER 2000  

An InvestorLinks article
distributed every market day.

Rambus Inc  (NASDAQ: RMBS)
Market Call™ for October 20, 2000
Contributed by Mark Seleznov, TrendTrader.com.

The purpose of this Market Call section is to educate readers in technical analysis patterns and indicators. As with all investment information, you need to research information and consult your financial advisor before initiating any strategies that are contained in Market Call.

Also, you must realize that as with all trading strategies, opinions can change quickly depending on market conditions and developments.

This column tries to present historical examples, potential set ups, and examples of entry and exit strategies.

Combining our Indicators for Confirmation

Two of my favorites trading indicators are Moving Average Crossovers and MACD. When these two indicators in sync, trading signals tend to be more reliable.

I also use and watch channel breakouts of support and resistance.

Once again today for the second time in a week, we have combining indicators saying Buy.

Do we have a tradable bottom? I feel the risk vs. reward says YES!

As always, we need to manage risk and use stops. Trading against a major trend is always more frustrating then with the trend. The overall trend is still down. We need a few more up days to confirm trend reversal.

Moving Averages and Moving Average Crossovers

The moving average crossover method calculates two moving averages, each based on a different number of periods of trading data. When the shorter-term (fewer period) average crosses above the longer-term average from below, this is a buy signal. When the shorter-term average crosses below the longer-term average from above, this is a sell signal.

Moving averages are used to smooth prices, dampening the distractions of short price movement so that the underlying trend is clearer. Moving averages always lag the market and, therefore, will never buy market bottoms or sell market tops. Like any other trend-following system, the moving average crossover will perform best when markets are trending because it automatically places the trader on the right side of every extended move. When markets are moving sideways, however, the lack of extended moves will cause losses.

MACD "Moving Average Convergence/Divergence"

The MACD is a trend following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between three moving averages of prices. This method can be used for any time frame. It could be 5 minute bars, 15 minutes bars or daily bars. Many traders will also trade in multiple time frames using a longer time frame for trend, and the shorter period for entry and exit.

The MACD is the difference between a 26-period and 12-period exponential moving average. A 9 period exponential moving average, called the “signal” (or “trigger”) line is plotted on top of the MACD to show buy/sell opportunities. On the charts below, the MACD line is the green colored line, and the trailing, slower moving line is the signal line. Some technical analysis programs will show the MACD as a histogram bar. There are three popular ways to use the MACD: crossovers, overbought/oversold conditions, and divergences.

The most common use is as a crossover method. Using this interpretation, the trading rule is to sell when the MACD falls below its signal line. Similarly, a buy signal occurs when the MACD rises above its signal line. It is also popular to buy/sell when the MACD goes above/below zero.

Some traders will use MACD as an overbought and oversold indicator. When using the indicator in this manner, when the shorter moving average pulls away dramatically from the longer moving average (i.e., the MACD rises), it is likely that the security price is overextending and will soon return to more realistic levels. MACD overbought and oversold conditions vary from security to security.

The other way some traders use MACD is to spot divergences from an anticipated movement. Since there are no indicators or patterns that work all the time, reactions against the anticipated move can signal a major move. A bearish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new lows while prices fail to reach new lows. A bullish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new highs while prices fail to reach new highs. Both of these divergences are most significant when they occur at relatively overbought/oversold levels.

Let’s look at Rambus, RMBS.

After breaking support in early October, RMBS dropped along with the rest of the chip stocks.

After Friday’s rise, it looked like RMBS was reversing and moving up, but it failed on Monday afternoon.

Once again today, RMBS broke Monday’s high, flashed MACD Buy signal and a Moving Average Crossover Buy.

It is worth a trade? If RMBS takes out today’s high, October 19, 2000, tomorrow, I would Buy on a break above 71 This cross above 71 will be a 20 period channel high.

I would Buy RMBS at 71.

I would place a stop at 68 3/4.

Many stocks are exhibiting similar patterns. Set up your TORS software with the standard parameters used here and look for similar trades with good risk vs. reward characteristics.

Chart courtesy of
 


Interested in adding Market Call to your website?
Click here for details: Market Call Information

Mark A. Seleznov is a General Securities Principal and Managing Partner of Trend Trader, LLC, a NASD, SIPC broker/dealer firm located in Scottsdale, Arizona. A professional trader for over 25 years, Mark was a Market Maker on the Philadelphia Stock Exchange, a Retail Registered Representative, and futures trader. Mark is an author and recognized expert in equity Day Trading. He conducts seminars in Equity Day Trading and offers his firm traders training and support. If his firm holds any positions in the public companies he writes about, it will be noted at the bottom of his article.

Market Calls is a daily syndicated column on trading by Mark A. Seleznov, Managing Partner of Trend Trader, LLC. For information on obtaining Market Calls for your web site, newspapers, or publication, contact
Trend Trader, LLC at 602-948-1146

Disclaimer: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals. Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability. This is not an offer to buy or sell securities. The advice given above is of a general nature and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the referenced security.

 
Search for it at the TulipSearch Open Directory
Investment Bookstore Investment Newsstand Market Mavens Report

TULIPS AND BEARS NETWORK SITES

 

FINANCE
Tulips and Bears
Contrarian Investing.com
Internet Stock Talk
Traders Message Boards
Traders Press Bookstore

NEWS AND INFORMATION
TulipsWeather
Freewarestop.com
TulipsMail
TulipsEspa�ol
TulipSearch
TulipNews
TulipCards
AllMusicSearch.com
City Guides
Travel Center
Bargain Bloodhound...coming soon

WEBMASTER TOOLS

TulipHost
BecomeAnAffiliate.com
TulipDomains
GoSurfTo
TulipStats
...coming soon
TulipTools...coming soon

Questions or Comments? Contact Us

Copyright � 1998-2000 Tulips and Bears LLC.
All Rights Reserved.  Republication of this material,
including posting to message boards or news groups,
without the prior written consent of Tulips and Bears LLC
is strictly prohibited.


Last modified: October 29, 2000

Published By Tulips and Bears LLC